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Uthman
09-23-2009, 05:35 PM
By Khaled Diab

Given that only about 4% of the EU's population is Muslim, why is the fear of a coming Eurabia so strong in certain quarters?


Muslims in Europe are secretly amassing an arsenal of the deadliest in biological weaponry: the demographic time bomb. The first phase of the Muslim invasion – or should I say reinvasion – of Europe has already begun with the deployment of an expeditionary force of womb-men: a fearsome army of mutant ninja warriors whose function is to go forth and multiply. Their turbo-charged and perhaps even genetically modified uteruses mass produce the deadly biological agent which is currently being stockpiled in Muslim homes across the continent.

And their mission: to create Eurabia – or, better said, since many European Muslims are not Arabs, to turn the EU into the European Umma. Having been driven out of Europe once and unable to reconquer it through force of arms, those crafty and cunning Muslims are back to do it through the Trojan horse of immigration and reproduction.

Some dismiss this demographic time bomb as being far-fetched and as fantastical as Saddam Hussein's non-existent arsenal of WMD, but yet another smoking gun has been found in the Netherlands. Troubling evidence has emerged that Muhammad has become the most popular boy's name in the country's four biggest cities. And a similar situation is emerging in other European urban centres.

In fact, five centuries after the reconquest of Granada, that last Muslim stronghold, Eurabia has established its first de facto capital in Rotterdam.

And when the number of Muhammads and other assorted Mohammedans become a majority over the coming century – as the great Bernard Lewis warned – they will form an army of mujahideen of Talibanesque horror which will subjugate the natives and make them live as second-class dhimmis under sharia law.

As far-fetched conspiracy theories go, the Eurabia myth is one of the most persistent and dangerous of recent years – and the Daily Telegraph fanned the controversy this month with its claims that it had carried out an investigation which revealed that the EU's Muslim population would jump from the current 4-5% to an improbable 20% by 2050.

The six-paragraph article gives no indication of how the projections were arrived at, nor the assumptions upon which they were based. In fact, as the BBC pointed out in a piece debunking a popular YouTube hit on "Muslim Demographics", population projection is an inexact science. It cites, as an example, the projections made in the 1930s that the UK's population would fall to 20 million by the end of the 20th century.

Most projections that foresee a massive increase in Europe's Muslim population are based on certain assumptions which are hard to justify. They assume that recent immigration trends will continue indefinitely for decades to come, but this is unlikely as Europe continuously raises the immigration bar for non-EU citizens, and it is not far-fetched to expect that many European countries may call a halt to immigration or draw their future immigrants from certain more "desirable" countries.

The projections also assume that European Muslims will continue to have a significantly higher fertility rate than the population at large. But evidence suggests that the fertility rates of Muslim women are gradually converging with those of the wider population. And there are signs that the fertility rate among the white population of some European countries, such as France, is recovering.

So, given that the only hard facts we can be sure of is that a small minority of about 4% of the EU's population is Muslim, why is this fear of a coming Eurabia so strong in certain quarters? Many of the biggest proponents of the Muslim demographic time bomb myth are cheerleaders of and apologists for US imperialism in the Middle East, such as Bat Y'eor and Bernard Lewis.

Some Europeans, particularly from conservative and Christian circles and the intolerant wing of liberalism, have fallen for the myth for a variety of reasons. One is the relatively rapid shift in western Europe towards multicultural, multi-ethnic and multi-religious societies in recent decades, which has caused a certain sense of alienation and insecurity, especially for those whose economic security has been undermined by neo-liberal economics and globalisation.

Other reasons are the massive lifestyle and social changes. These have caused distress for traditionalists and people who still identify themselves as Christian: they have seen their religion die a slow death, while Islam seems to go from strength to strength.

Then, there is the plain old fear stoked by the overexposure given to the most intolerant Islamic fringe groups and individuals. Certainly, there are some European Muslims who want to live according to sharia and there is even a lunatic fringe who would like to see Europe incorporated into some fantastical global caliphate.

But Muslims in Europe are not some unified, monolithic force. Not only are they ethnically diverse and from communities that are not the greatest fans of each other – consider the animosity between Moroccans and Algerians, for example – they are also as varied ideologically as the rest of the population.

Although Muslims tend to be more religious and conservative than the rest of society, there are also plenty of secular, non-practising, cultural and even non-believing Muslims. In addition, it is impossible to tell what kind of identities future European Muslims will have, but I suspect that the future cultural fault lines in Europe will not run along traditional religious lines, but will pit believers against non-believers, creating a kind unity of purpose between conservative Muslims and Christians intent on preserving faith in a "Godless Europe".

While Eurabia is a fantasy, Europe is almost certainly going to become more diverse in the future, and so a debate is worth having about how to adapt to this reality and what constitutes citizenship in an increasingly mobile world.

Source

Khaled Diab is a Brussels-based journalist and writer. He writes about a wide range of subjects, including the EU, the Middle East, Islam and secularism, multiculturalism, human rights, and much more. He also dabbles in fiction and theatre.
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Uthman
09-23-2009, 05:37 PM
I disagree with the author calling those who wish to live by Shari'ah intolerant Islamic fringe groups and individuals.

Comments on the rest of the article?
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rpwelton
09-23-2009, 05:54 PM
I found it interesting how he still calls non-believing "muslims" muslims. Bit of an oxymoron, eh?

This guy very much comes off like a modernist. These are the types of Muslims the governments want everyone to be.
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Uthman
09-23-2009, 05:58 PM
True. He recently wrote an article in which he informed us that he no longer does Ramadan.

Still, this particular article isn't without merit. Some good points are made.
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GreyKode
09-23-2009, 07:09 PM
Originally Posted by Uthmān
True. He recently wrote an article in which he informed us that he no longer does Ramadan.

Still, this particular article isn't without merit. Some good points are made.
No longer does Ramadan, then he is a kafir, why does this guy and his like pretend to be muslims and speak on behalf of muslims then??
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rpwelton
09-23-2009, 07:14 PM
Originally Posted by GreyKode
No longer does Ramadan, then he is a kafir, why does this guy and his like pretend to be muslims and speak on behalf of muslims then??
His kufr will depend on why he is not fasting Ramadan. If he outright rejects it as an obligation, then that makes him a kaffir. If he knows its fard but does not fast because he doesn't want to, then he is committing a great sin, but is still within the fold of Islam.
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Muezzin
09-23-2009, 07:27 PM
Originally Posted by Uthmān
Although Muslims tend to be more religious and conservative than the rest of society, there are also plenty of secular, non-practising, cultural and even non-believing Muslims. In addition, it is impossible to tell what kind of identities future European Muslims will have, but I suspect that the future cultural fault lines in Europe will not run along traditional religious lines, but will pit believers against non-believers, creating a kind unity of purpose between conservative Muslims and Christians intent on preserving faith in a "Godless Europe".
Of all the 'Doomsday scenarios' I've heard or read about pertaining to Islam in modern Europe, this seems the most likely. I'm surprised I haven't seen anyone else point this out.
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czgibson
09-23-2009, 11:08 PM
Greetings,

Some of the weirdest views I've heard from someone who is supposedly Muslim (is he?), but I think the general thrust of the article is right - Europe isn't about to become a Muslim majority area any time soon.

Peace
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جوري
09-24-2009, 04:47 AM
Originally Posted by Uthmān
would like to see Europe incorporated into some fantastical global caliphate.
That was all that caught my eye in that article.. Insha'Allah it shall come to be!

:w:
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Uthman
09-24-2009, 06:24 AM
He was probably born into a Muslim family and that's about it. Maybe he used to practise but no longer does?

It's perplexing, certainly.
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KAding
09-24-2009, 10:40 AM
Originally Posted by Uthmān
He was probably born into a Muslim family and that's about it. Maybe he used to practise but no longer does?

It's perplexing, certainly.
Yes, it is. But not surprising considering the strong taboo on apostasy in Islamic circles. So I suppose to avoid being outcast people become "secular Muslims" instead of apostates?
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GreyKode
09-24-2009, 11:02 AM
Originally Posted by KAding
Yes, it is. But not surprising considering the strong taboo on apostasy in Islamic circles. So I suppose to avoid being outcast people become "secular Muslims" instead of apostates?
Maybe, but he could go away quietly, why does he have to come out and call himself a muslim public speaker.
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Muezzin
09-24-2009, 11:05 AM
Not to defend this chap who nobody seems to like unless they can use him to illustrate a particular political point, but speculation as to his faith, or lack thereof, isn't really the point of this thread.
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Sampharo
09-24-2009, 12:57 PM
Originally Posted by Uthmān
Given that only about 4% of the EU's population is Muslim, why is the fear of a coming Eurabia so strong in certain quarters?
Strange angle to start with. His approach seems to be avoiding that Europe itself is 20% muslim once you step outside the limitations of the EU and that the birthrate is three times as the other races and religions, some of which (like the Germans) are actually in negative generational growth (less children than parents).

I don't know whether he is misguidedly trying to play it down so as to reduce "the heat" against muslims and Arabs in Europe, or is he this actually that bad in analysis.
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