Muslim Population to grow by about 35% over the next 20 years

[titus]

Source

The Pew Research Center has done an extensive worldwide study on Muslim population trends and recently announced their results. I thought some people might find it interesting. I believe they are now currently working on their Christian population trend.

The world's Muslim population is expected to increase by about 35% in the next 20 years, rising from 1.6 billion in 2010 to 2.2 billion by 2030, according to new population projections by the Pew Research Center's Forum on Religion & Public Life.

Globally, the Muslim population is forecast to grow at about twice the rate of the non-Muslim population over the next two decades -- an average annual growth rate of 1.5% for Muslims, compared with 0.7% for non-Muslims. If current trends continue, Muslims will make up 26.4% of the world's total projected population of 8.3 billion in 2030, up from 23.4% of the estimated 2010 world population of 6.9 billion.

While the global Muslim population is expected to grow at a faster rate than the non-Muslim population, the Muslim population nevertheless is expected to grow at a slower pace in the next two decades than it did in the previous two decades. From 1990 to 2010, the global Muslim population increased at an average annual rate of 2.2%, compared with the projected rate of 1.5% for the period from 2010 to 2030.

.......

Europe

• In 2030, Muslims are projected to make up more than 10% of the total population in 10 European countries: Kosovo (93.5%), Albania (83.2%), Bosnia-Herzegovina (42.7%), Republic of Macedonia (40.3%), Montenegro (21.5%), Bulgaria (15.7%), Russia (14.4%), Georgia (11.5%), France (10.3%) and Belgium (10.2%).

• Russia will continue to have the largest Muslim population (in absolute numbers) in Europe in 2030. Its Muslim population is expected to rise from 16.4 million in 2010 to 18.6 million in 2030. The growth rate for the Muslim population in Russia is projected to be 0.6% annually over the next two decades. By contrast, Russia's non-Muslim population is expected to shrink by an average of 0.6% annually over the same period.

.......


The definition of Muslim in this report is very broad. The goal is to count all groups and individuals who self-identify as Muslims. This includes Muslims who may be secular or nonobservant. No attempt is made in this report to measure how religious Muslims are or to forecast levels of religiosity (or secularism) in the decades ahead.

.........

Related Factors: Conversion

Statistical data on conversion to and from Islam are scarce. What little information is available suggests that there is no substantial net gain or loss in the number of Muslims through conversion globally; the number of people who become Muslims through conversion seems to be roughly equal to the number of Muslims who leave the faith. As a result, this report does not include any estimated future rate of conversions as a direct factor in the projections of Muslim population growth.

 

[aamirsaab]

So basically I win.

 

[aadil77]

300m increase every 10 years, that's constant

I reckon the rate is faster, but none of this matters anyway

 

[Perseveranze]

Peace,

Read that by 2050, Islam will be the biggest followed religion.

 

[GuestFellow]

Statistical data on conversion to and from Islam are scarce. What little information is available suggests that there is no substantial net gain or loss in the number of Muslims through conversion globally; the number of people who become Muslims through conversion seems to be roughly equal to the number of Muslims who leave the faith. As a result, this report does not include any estimated future rate of conversions as a direct factor in the projections of Muslim population growth.

That's interesting. I noticed there are more westerners converting than compared to easterners...not sure if this is true.

 

[Woodrow]

I personally think the overall growth is going to be more. The numbers are taken from recent trends. I believe that if Peace is restored to Iraq and Afghanistan, it will increase the figures.

My logic is 2 things will happen if peace is restored. First the misconception of Islam is the enemy will fall away and second you will have returning soldiers who now will have thoughts of why they were even involved there and either they will see themselves as peace bringers in which case they will tend to want to show solidarity for the area by speaking positive about Islam. or they will see themselves as having been invaders and will be supportive of Islam out of remorse.

 

[Woodrow]

That's interesting. I noticed there are more westerners converting than compared to easterners...not sure if this is true.

If what I have read in other sources it seems the rate of reverting is highest among Western College Women. It seems Educated Western Women like what they see in Islam.

 

[purple]

​

Sisters and brothers, it is time to wake up to reality. While we often like to boast about the large size of our Ummah, the fact is that we are losing more hearts and minds everyday, due in large part to our silence about human rights abuses, especially those directed towards women. These people will continue to turn to the secular philosophies promoted by those who do take the time to speak out on their behalf: the feminists, socialists, and secularists.​

http://islamfortoday.com/ummzaid06.htm​

:wa:​

 

[*charisma*]

Assalamu Alaikum

I'd prefer that rather than have a growing population, we increase our imans and be better Muslims, better warriors, better neighbors--quality over quantity--then I'm pretty sure the population will increase indefinitely.

fi aman allah
w'salaam

 

[titus]

I personally think the overall growth is going to be more. The numbers are taken from recent trends. I believe that if Peace is restored to Iraq and Afghanistan, it will increase the figures.

That may be true, especially in Afghanistan, but I am not sure how significant those numbers will be worldwide. The study also says that as Muslims become better educated, especially the women, the birth rates go down significantly. In Afghanistan the women (and men) are among the least educated in the Muslim world and the Pew report takes that into account, as well as the current situation and says they expect the average number of children per woman in Afghanistan to be 6.3, second only to Niger.

 

[Pygoscelis]

I agree with the post above and with Woodrow's post. If Islam can shake the negative stereotype then it may grow even faster.

But if it can not shake the negative stereotype (as Woodrow is saying it will) or if it does not shape towards good Islam (like the post above is stressing) and gets hijacked by those who would use it for ill then too much and too fast growth in numbers of muslims could lead to a world of conflict even worse than what we see now.

News about Islam quickly growing will please fellow muslims, will be indifferent to people like myself, but will terrify and alarm the religious right in the USA and charge them up even more than they are now, with their "Freedom Fries" and "Terror Mosque" stories and their "Burn a Quran" days.

 

[Pygoscelis]

That trend is true in general. The more educated people are, the fewer children they have. Strange correlation, but a very strong one. It seems to apply across cultural and religious boundries.

 

[جوري]

The study also says that as Muslims become better educated, especially the women,

Muslim women have always been better educated than their western counterparts.. Even in England where Muslims are not doing particularly as well as they're in America; Muslim women fair better even than both atheist and Christian women. The study was posted here by our dear pal 'Thinker' many of you seem to inadvertently post links that nullify your own claims..

BTW, Jewish women have some of the highest birth-rates:
Hasidic Jews typically produce large families; the average Hasidic family in the United States has 7 or 8 children.[8] This custom is followed out of a desire to fulfil the Biblical mandate to "be fruitful and multiply."[9]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hasidic_Judaism

do you find that your stereo-types hold true here or just as far as Muslims are concerned because you're so well integrated with said communities?

Birthrate is usually an economic issue rather than an education Issue. one of the conditions of getting married in Islam is being able to financially afford it (in some cultures people simply live with their parents) to others this maybe unacceptable hence the late marriages and lesser number of children .. fertility problems increase as one ages thus not affording everyone the size of the family that they may otherwise desire or seek at that stage even if they are financially and education wise comfortable!

all the best

 

[AhlaamBella]

That trend is true in general. The more educated people are, the fewer children they have. Strange correlation, but a very strong one. It seems to apply across cultural and religious boundries.

Really? That's interesting. Got any studies/research to back that up?

 

[GuestFellow]

That trend is true in general. The more educated people are, the fewer children they have. Strange correlation, but a very strong one. It seems to apply across cultural and religious boundries.

I never heard of this. The explanation behind this correlation I think is that the more educated you are, the more likely you are going to get a job that pays well which means more money to use for yourself. So you prefer to have less kids because more kids means spending more money on your children rather than yourself...

I think another reason might be that women in the west are more likely to be concerned about their body due to the pressure on the mainstream media, so would want less children, in order to stay in shape...

In addition, its more likely that educated women want less children because they want to put their careers first rather than focusing on their family life...

^ I'm just purely speculating.

 

[Woodrow]

Really? That's interesting. Got any studies/research to back that up?

Years ago when more women started getting advanced degrees several studies were made that I can remember, those studies indicated the more education a woman had the less children she had.

It makes sense when you think about it. The more education awoman has usually means the longer she has put off marriage for school, reducing the number of child bearing years she will have after marriage.

A more recent study seems to show this trend is continuing.

[QUOTEWomen's access to education, health care, family planning, and employment all affect family size. Studies show that women who have completed primary school have fewer children than those with no education. Education is key because educated women are more likely to know what social, community, and health services, including family planning, are available and to have the confidence to use them. In addition, women with more education have more opportunities outside the home and can see the benefits of education for their children. Women who achieve a relatively high level of education are also more likely to enter the labor force before they marry or begin childbearing, and ultimately to have smaller families than women who marry in their teens. This trend is evident in almost every country where data are available. As the figure "Women's Education and Family Size" shows, women with a secondary school education have substantially smaller families than women with less education.[/QUOTE] source

 

[جوري]

I never heard of this. The explanation behind this correlation I think is that the more educated you are, the more likely you are going to get a job that pays well which means more money to use for yourself. So you prefer to have less kids because more kids means spending more money on your children rather than yourself... I think another reason might be that women in the west are more likely to be concerned about their body due to the pressure on the mainstream media, so would want less children, in order to stay in shape... In addition, its more likely that educated women want less children because they want to put their careers first rather than focusing on their family life... ^ I'm just purely speculating.

Most of the women I have encountered in my profession wanted to get their life together so as to provide a reasonable life for their children, unfortunately also not many find a suitable partner, and if/when they do, sometimes that well is all dried up-- I know many Muslim sisters who are themselves struggling with fertility treatments, some are fortunate enough to have one child, some can't conceive at all. One of my friends recently had a ruptured uterus during childbirth and had a hysterectomy thus ending her career as a childbearing woman..

Whereas I don't at all agree with the inane conclusions these atheists come up with, I know that being a woman has absolutely nothing to do with east or west, it is a very small percentage of the population that want their focal point to be a career rather than family.. Most people would like to have both in an ideal place but believe me no one would choose work over family unless they had some unfortunate reasons to.

 

[جوري]

It makes sense when you think about it. The more education awoman has usually means the longer she has put off marriage for school, reducing the number of child bearing years she will have after marriage.

That is very true!

 

[Pygoscelis]

I think the more interesting statistic is that educated MEN also tend to have fewer children.

 

[GuestFellow]

I think the more interesting statistic is that educated MEN also tend to have fewer children.

The term educated is a bit vague. Do you mean someone who has a degree?

I know many people that have a degree but cannot even type a simple letter. Some don't know that Africa is a continent...