There sure does seem to be a lot of evil going on. The official story is full of more and more holes.
Contrary to what you may think, I could be persuaded that a given event was a false flag op if the evidence was good enough. But I’m not convinced by what’s on offer here and it bothers me that so many people approach this with preconceived convictions that it’s all a conspiracy - people who will accept any old story without the slightest attempt to check them out.
People talk about seeing through ‘mainstream media’. But at this stage, conspiracists are also an organised media with their own agenda, their own financial incentives, and their own fixed prejudices. Therefore, we should place the same standards - the same burden of proof - on conspiracists that the conspiracists place on the official version.
1.
Witnesses
I believe the average person is not very aware of their surroundings and in an emergency life-threatening situation is not likely to be a reliable witness.
I totally agree with you about this and I've seen it demonstrated in tests just how unreliable people's memories can be. However, this unreliability cuts both ways. The conspiracy witnesses are no more reliable than anyone else. (eg in Boston, when you get one guy out of tens of thousands (Ali Stevenson) who says there was a bomb drill announced, but no one else reports it, you should discount him altogether.)
2.
Photographic/video evidence
Everyone has a mobile phone, so almost any event is now quite likely to be accompanied by at least some photographic evidence. You would have expected this to lead to more clarity. It hasn't. The pictures are often poor quality and capable of interpretation. From now on, there will always be those who claim that the person in the picture is not the person the officials say, but someone else (a secret policeman, a victim from Sandy Hook, a war veteran - whatever). There will never be another event where this doesn't happen. Too much faith is placed in photography, it doesn't always tell the full story and sometimes it’s downright deceptive. There is a long history of conspiracy sites showing photos taken from entirely different times and locations and passing them off as evidence.
3.
Throw enough mud against a wall and some will stick.
This is probably the single most valuable tool in the conspiracist’s arsenal. In any major event there are a huge number of stories that fly around. It doesn't seem to matter to people when the stories totally contradict each other (even though people jump on the slightest inconsistency in the official story). Many of these issues subsequently fall by the wayside as being irrelevant or just plain wrong.
For instance - to mention just a few from Boston - we had the man on the roof (an employee of a company that uses the balcony as a place to have a smoke), the Saudi suspect (no longer relevant), the library bomb (a confusion between two libraries and timing), Craft International (they don't provide security staff and their kit is available to anyone). At a higher level, we have the now mostly-abandoned theory that this was a right wing/patriot false flag op (irrelevant since the Muslim link emerged). Although these no longer form part of the main conspiracist's narrative, they have still played a big job in softening up people into believing "there's no smoke without fire". Yet when you go back through the timeline you realise almost all of them have been junked.
4.
24 hour news and the internet.
The news media need to fill every minute of every day. To do that, they will pick up on every lead no matter how slender and give it airtime. They capture the chaos and confusion of unfolding events, the false arrests, the bombs that weren't, the eyewitnesses with random comments. This provides limitless material for the conspiracists. Meanwhile, the internet is the perfect vehicle to spread absolutely any theory no matter how far-fetched.
5.
Governments screw up.
We're only human. Governments and police too. We make mistakes. Often, we try to cover them up afterwards. If an FBI officer fails to spot a potential suspect who then goes on to kill 100 people, let's not be surprised if he tries to cover up his error. It doesn't always mean that he's part of a conspiracy.
Also, we should bear in mind that counter espionage is a dirty business. Intelligence is key to success. It’s extremely likely that the CIA have at least some double agents in various Muslim terrorist groups. Sometimes, those double agents participate in a crime to retain their cover. The CIA or other intelligence agency have to decide to let some people get killed to save more in the future (eg see the history of Enigma in WW2). That doesn’t mean that they control or orchestrate the whole thing – you need more proof than that.
6.
Leading conspiracists are proven liars.
There really is no doubt in this - for instance Alex Jones, who has led the Boston reports, has been caught many times spreading stories which are factually untrue. You may choose to believe his overall agenda. But if you look at his work, it's impossible not to see that he has lied repeatedly. He does not care about the provenance of a story, so long as it creates unrest. (eg tweets and facebook pages that appear to have foreknowledge of the attack - when he knows that for technological reasons the times are not recorded accurately or can sometimes be changed afterwards). These are outright lies and he knows it. Yet people swallow his stories without any critical analysis at all (whilst telling the rest of us that we are 'sheeple'). You can’t accuse the government of lying unless you apply the sae standards to Alex Jones etc.
7.
The unholy alliance
There are a huge diversity of conspiracy groups who often hate each other as much as the government. So you may find white supremacists on the same side as Muslims and left wing liberals. A weird, weird mix.
It also means that there’s always a ‘motive’ available for any event. It’s to justify an invasion, a police state, ideological warfare – whatever. Who cares which.
8.
Inconsistent narratives
Conspiracists have no shame. They expect the official story to be watertight in every detail, whilst their own stories don't even make sense in their own terms (and they never apologise for their mistakes). This was never so clearly expressed as in the split over 9/11, the Planers and the No Planers. They can't both be true. So maybe the 'overwhelming evidence' isn't so overwhelming after all.
In Boston we have big divisions between a) those who think the event was faked altogether (ie there were no bombs, the injuires are faked etc) and b) those who think there was a bomb, but Tamerlan and Dzhokhar didn't plant it and c) there was a bomb, they planted it, but they are just patsies.
All of these theories are incompatible (some of them in a major way) yet the conspiracists still seem to regard that any evidence that supports any of the theories counts for them too.