Is Iran Doomed?

[Namir Wahid]

Some have described Iran’s response to Israel’s unprovoked and illegal attack as strong and forceful, but it may be short-lived.

There was a time when Hezbollah seemed like a strong force, one that could not only mitigate Israel’s genocide in Gaza by redirecting Israeli forces to the north, but one that could go toe-to-toe with the IDF if needed. But, Hezbollah is now a shell of what it used to be. Its leader was assassinated, its supply lines were diminished, and it suffered a disgusting terrorist attack by Israel vis-a-vis the pager explosions.

It’s the latter point that needs extra attention. We have to give credit where credit is due. As demonic as Israel’s plans are, Israel is meticulous and patient in carrying them out. Israel concocted this terrorist attack a decade prior to executing it. That’s dedication.

Likewise, the drone attacks and car explosions in Iran are being performed by nefarious forces within. Iran, like most countries in the world, is compromised. While we have plenty of historical examples to reference such as the Lavon Affair, the USS Liberty false flag attempt, and the Jonathan Pollard incident, we have no idea where Israel has spies and terrorists embedded, nor how many. We have no idea how many of our devices are infected with Israeli spyware, or worse.

While the rest of us try to work within the frameworks of international law and moral standards, Israel has no moral limits. There is no bottom in Israel’s well of depravity. Every time we think it couldn’t get any worse, Israel surprises us. I fear what evil Israel has planned for the region. Perhaps it’s something our minds can’t even conceive.

 

[Marwan-Maroc]

I hope Iran destroys them.

But whatever happens, God decides the outcome of wars.

God is the Most Great.

 

[I<3Bush]

Some have described Iran’s response to Israel’s unprovoked and illegal attack as strong and forceful, but it may be short-lived.

There was a time when Hezbollah seemed like a strong force, one that could not only mitigate Israel’s genocide in Gaza by redirecting Israeli forces to the north, but one that could go toe-to-toe with the IDF if needed. But, Hezbollah is now a shell of what it used to be. Its leader was assassinated, its supply lines were diminished, and it suffered a disgusting terrorist attack by Israel vis-a-vis the pager explosions.

It’s the latter point that needs extra attention. We have to give credit where credit is due. As demonic as Israel’s plans are, Israel is meticulous and patient in carrying them out. Israel concocted this terrorist attack a decade prior to executing it. That’s dedication.

Likewise, the drone attacks and car explosions in Iran are being performed by nefarious forces within. Iran, like most countries in the world, is compromised. While we have plenty of historical examples to reference such as the Lavon Affair, the USS Liberty false flag attempt, and the Jonathan Pollard incident, we have no idea where Israel has spies and terrorists embedded, nor how many. We have no idea how many of our devices are infected with Israeli spyware, or worse.

While the rest of us try to work within the frameworks of international law and moral standards, Israel has no moral limits. There is no bottom in Israel’s well of depravity. Every time we think it couldn’t get any worse, Israel surprises us. I fear what evil Israel has planned for the region. Perhaps it’s something our minds can’t even conceive.

My personal opinion is that yes, it is doomed given all the current circumstances. Iran quickly recovered from the cyber attack that left it's defenses offline, retaliated with strong force, got the upper hand of the situation, and suddenly overnight agrees to a ceasefire that the enemy put forth? On top of that, while Iranians are celebrating "victory" in the streets and on social media, israel is not only rearming itself, but they are continually bombing Gaza and Lebanon WHILE openly threatening Iran of another attack. israel is clearly plotting it's next attack and be certain that they have learned from their mistakes.

The problem with Iran is that they are playing by the rules set forth by the enemy. They are allowing the enemy to control the narrative and letting them dictate how this war plays out. I mean, the prophecies about the end of times will have to happen one way or another, so I suppose it's only a matter of time before we see the entire region collapse.

 

[سيف الله]

Salaam

Hmmm the long and short of it is no, Zios along with their western patrons main goal was to induce regime change. They were hoping to install the Clown Prince Reza Pahlavi to replace Khamenei

Didn't happen but Iran took some serious hits, the conflict isn't over.

Here's some background.

Blurb

Since 13 June, the long-running stand-off between Iran and Israel has escalated to sustained conventional conflict, with a sustained Israeli air campaign against targets within Iran itself, while Iran has retaliated with ballistic missile and drone attacks against Israel.It was a complicated military scenario even before the U.S. intervened directly against 3 Iranian nuclear facilities.Today,

I try and parse some of what we've seen so far, and what military observations and lessons we might (cautiously) draw at this early stage.

Blurb

The Kinetic phase of Israel and Iran's recent war ended almost as suddenly as it began. US intervention was followed with a call for a ceasefire, a demonstrative missile attack by Iran, and then (after some very emphatic social media diplomacy) a ceasefire. In this episode I want to take stock of what we've learned over the last week and the status of Iran's remaining nuclear infrastructure.

What I also want to do though is focus on some observations not about the nuclear side of this war, but the impacts of the conventional one.

Iran's model of deterrence clearly failed - and in this episode I ask whether consistent under-investment in the regular military and its Air and Air-Defence at the expense of the IRGC and its Ballistic Missiles and proxies mean that Tehran helped hand the Israelis rapid air superiority, and how that may shape the strategic balance and any negotiations in the days and weeks to come.

More comment and analysis.

Iran’s Deep Bench​

Given the proclivity of both the USA and Israel to wage war through assassination and regime change, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that their enemies are now anticipating decapitation strikes, which was the section of this interview with a former Iranian general that caught my attention.

There’s the issue of the leadership vacuum the Zionist entity sought to create by assassinating leaders of the Revolutionary Guard, followed by subsequent operations. But what we witnessed instead was the strength of our armed forces: leadership positions were filled within just three to four hours, and the command structure was swiftly and efficiently reorganized. What did the people witness afterward? How do you assess the Zionist entity’s belief that creating a leadership vacuum would weaken you?

Mohsen Rezaei: I believe Israel made a grave military miscalculation. They assumed Iran was similar to Hezbollah, even though they themselves have failed to dismantle Hezbollah. They should have learned from that experience. Look at the leadership figures that have emerged within our armed forces. Major General Pakpour, for example, is an exceptionally strong field commander—courageous, with a remarkable operational vision.

Amir Hatami, who joined from the regular army, is a brave and seasoned officer. The same goes for Mr. Mousavi in the aerospace sector. And also for Mr. Mousavi who succeeded the martyred General Bagheri in the General Staff—he is a dedicated man, aligned with the resistance movement.

Though they come from the regular army, there is full coordination between them and the Revolutionary Guards. What the enemy did failed to create any structural void within the armed forces. In fact, it could be said that certain aspects have grown more effective, as recent events have shown. That’s one point.

Secondly, we now have no fewer than ten additional layers of trained commanders and officers—some from the generation that fought in the war, and others who gained valuable field experience in later years, particularly in the fight against ISIS. Many of our forces who fought in Iraq and Syria against ISIS have, through those field experiences, become akin to senior war commanders like Hussein Kharrazi and Ahmad Kazemi—young, capable leaders fully prepared to command the armed forces.

It was a profound error on the part of the Israeli military not to recognize the deep hierarchical structure and the robust bench of ready leadership within our ranks. This internal architecture and the organizational evolution of the armed forces entirely compensated for any potential gaps. In my view, this challenge has already been overcome. And in the near future, our dear people will see that those who have stepped into the shoes of our fallen leaders will ensure that no imbalance or vacuum arises in the management of the armed forces.

The high command—led by His Eminence, the Commander—is fully acquainted with each of these leaders. They have been selected with care and discernment. I am absolutely confident that there will be no void in leadership.

A very common mistake often seen throughout military history is projection, or analyzing the enemy as if it were a mirror image of one’s own forces. Both Israel and the USA have very thin strategic and command benches, which is why they assume that taking out the top layer or two of enemy leadership will lead to complete confusion and disarray.

Which, to be fair, would likely happen in the case of either country suffering the loss of its leadership. But it’s clear that Iran and China are both very well prepared in an institutional sense for rapid leadership transitions that will avoid the confusion and military paralysis that are the primary objective of decapitation strikes. Russia, perhaps not so much, which may account for the monomaniacal focus on President Putin’s well-being, although my suspicion is that his successor will be less patient with the West and more hardline.

Regime change works when you’ve got your candidate all ready and in position to assume command and negotiate a surrender. But it can’t when you don’t have a candidate, and worse, the enemy is already set up to make a series of orderly transitions if necessary.

Iran's Deep Bench - Vox Popoli

Given the proclivity of both the USA and Israel to wage war through assassination and regime change, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that their enemies are now anticipating decapitation strikes, which was the section of this interview with a former Iranian general that caught my attention...

voxday.net

 

[سيف الله]

Salaam

This is interesting.

The Price of Takeover​

Now the transformation of Silicon Valley into New Delhi Northwest suddenly makes a lot more sense:

A prominent hardline Iranian newspaper has made a shocking claim that Indian software used in Iran were exploited by Israeli intelligence agencies to collect sensitive information on Iranian residents.

The claim, without any evidence, was published by Kayhan, one of the most-read conservative newspapers in the country. In a special news article titled “How did the infiltration software enter the country?” Kayhan said many Iran is dependent on Indian software and programmers due to India’s dominance in the sector.

“Investigation into the Mossad infiltration in Iran revealed a shocking truth. Many of the Indian software used in Iran are actually Israeli and contain backdoors that send live data to Israel. This includes sensitive information such as civil registration, passport data, airport systems, and the like,” Kayhan said.

While there is no evidence for it yet, I would bet that there is a direct link between this program and the installation of pajeets in all the major US tech companies, most likely through the good offices of the big financial companies like Blackstone.

No wonder China and Russia have been determined to keep Big Tech outside their borders. I very much doubt their intelligence services are unaware of the way in which they are little more than massive surveillance machines.

The Price of Takeover - Vox Popoli

Now the transformation of Silicon Valley into New Delhi Northwest suddenly makes a lot more sense: A prominent hardline Iranian newspaper has made a shocking claim that Indian software used in Iran were exploited by Israeli intelligence agencies to collect sensitive information on Iranian...

voxday.net

Perhaps this gives insight into the recent Indian attacks on Pakistan, no doubt egged on by the zios.

 

[Eric H]

The problem with Iran is that they are playing by the rules set forth by the enemy.

Israel and America fired the first missiles in this round of conflict. Iran is obeying Islam, which allows defence, but not to attack your enemy first.

The world is turning against Israel, mainly because of Gaza. Israel are using starvation and shooting people desperate for food. I blame Trump for his part in the war. Netanyahu was almost wetting himself with joy, after Trump fired into Iran. I believe Trump is backing down now, because more nations are siding with Iran. The American people are now suffering with a lack of public funding, due to the billions being sent to Israel to fund their war.

Sadly, Israel is becoming like the people they feared and hated the most.

At his trial after WW2, Hermann Goering explained how easy it is to manipulate people. Here is what he said…

Why of course the people don’t want to go to war. Why would some poor slob on a farm want to risk his life in a war when the best he can hope for is to come back to his farm in one piece.
Naturally the common people don’t want war, neither in Russia nor in England nor in America, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood.

But after all it is the leaders of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether in a democracy, fascist dictatorship or a parliament or a communist dictatorship.

Voice or no voice the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for a lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same in any country.

Are Trump, Netanyahu, and others using this same manipulation?

 

[I<3Bush]

Israel and America fired the first missiles in this round of conflict. Iran is obeying Islam, which allows defence, but not to attack your enemy first.

Are they obeying Islam? Islam is a religion of justice, not just defense. There have been battles that were based on defense, but once the Muslims grew in numbers and strength, they went on the offensive to establish the rule of justice outside of their territories. Some Muslims seem to have an issue with this for some reason, but all of this happened during the life of the prophet and it's very much part of Islam's history. Iran is only looking out for their best interests, just like all the other countries that claim to be Islamic.

The world is turning against Israel, mainly because of Gaza. Israel are using starvation and shooting people desperate for food. I blame Trump for his part in the war. Netanyahu was almost wetting himself with joy, after Trump fired into Iran. I believe Trump is backing down now, because more nations are siding with Iran. The American people are now suffering with a lack of public funding, due to the billions being sent to Israel to fund their war.

tbh I think the world has always been against israel. Zionist controlled msm throughout history would lead you to believe otherwise, but thanks to social media and independent platforms, it became clear that it was only the paid off politicians and zio-backed institutions that really supported them. Yea, there are scattered groups of religious fanatics who donate their life savings to "help" the poor oppressed jews, but that really is a minority when looking at the bigger picture. I mean, even before israel, jews were never really accepted into most societies and the ones they were accepted into, they ended up being contained and isolated to prevent their corruption from spreading. Their teachings really don't allow them to be compatible with any other group of people unless they are the ruling class, which in that case it becomes a master/slave system. Goys will always be seen as beneath them.